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New England Patriots

FPI chances to make playoffs: 98% FPI chances to win division: 55% Current projected first-round matchup: vs. Bills

Week 15’s loss to the Colts snapped the Patriots’ seven-game winning streak and dropped them from the top of the AFC. It also set up a huge AFC East game on Sunday: The Patriots will host the Bills, with the winner taking control of the division. The FPI is giving the Bills a great chance to make the playoffs, and their game at the Patriots gives them a chance to take over the AFC East lead. The Patriots are favored in that game for a number of reasons, and rightfully so, but if you had told the Bills a few weeks ago that they would have a chance to retake the division lead in late December, they would have considered themselves fortunate. Green Bay Packers – y

FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched FPI chances to win division: Clinched

Their Week 15 win in Baltimore gave the Packers the NFL’s first playoff berth, and they clinched the NFC North on top of it. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FPI chances to make playoffs: 99% FPI chances to win division: 99% Current projected first-round matchup: vs. 49ers

The Buccaneers were overtaken at least for the time being by the Cowboys last weekend, but they can clinch the NFC South on Sunday with a win.

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